This year was not good for U.S. car sales, academics and researchers are talking about a pangent but not the worst decline in 2018. There are not so many specialists who dare to have a look beyond 2018, but Morgan Stanley did it and he doesn’t like what it sees, with a technology-obsolescence inspired downturn so awful government subsidies may be necessary to support the market.
Meanwhile forecasts for 2018’s decreases with 1.5% to off 5%. BMI Research rekons sales in 2018 will go down with 1.5%after a 1.1% fall this year. The Center for Automotive Research at the University of Duisberg-Essen in Germany is peripheral less optimistic, going for a 2% fall in 2017 to 17.2 million cars and another fall of 1.5% in 2018.